In 2025, the United States imposed broad tariff actions across countries and sectors. Then, on February 20, 2026, the White House moved to end key tariff actions, with changes taking effect on February 24, 2026. Such quick on-again off-again tariff actions are difficult to accommodate, track and ultimately react to in terms of business planning.
Unfortunately, this is the new reality. For US companies, there is a risk that tariffs arrive fast, expand fast, and then vanish fast. For overseas vendors (PCB fabricators, EMS providers, and contract manufacturers), tariff planning now has to work in both directions. You need a playbook for tariff increases, but you also need one for tariff removal.
To understand the risk, we need to understand the tariff stack.
For PCB and PCBA businesses, the most relevant U.S. measures have included Section 301 tariffs on China, Section 232 tariffs on selected sectors and materials, and the reciprocal tariffs introduced in 2025 and later removed in February 2026. The key lesson is that the tariff burden is not one number. It is a moving mix of duties, exemptions, and repeal risk.
First, the reciprocal tariff program in 2025 applied a baseline tariff across trading partners, with higher rates for some countries. That program was later terminated. This was the clearest sign yet that companies must plan for tariff removal, not just tariff escalation.
Second, Section 301 tariffs on China remained a major part of the cost base. Strategic Chinese products saw higher rates after the U.S. trade review, and semiconductors from China moved to a 50 percent tariff rate from January 1, 2025. A later semiconductor case added further complexity rather than replacing the earlier duty. For PCBAs with China-origin semiconductor content, this is critical.
Third, Section 232 measures added tariffs that matter directly to electronics. Certain semiconductors and derivative products became subject to additional duties. Steel and aluminium tariffs were also widened and increased. For PCB companies, that does not just affect raw metal. It can raise costs for heat sinks, brackets, racks, cabinets, shielding, and chassis that move with electronic assemblies.
Fourth, copper became a major issue. A 50 percent tariff on selected semi-finished copper products and high-copper derivatives hit a core input to PCB manufacturing. When the copper foil cost base moves, fabricators feel it quickly.
Finally, some measures offered only temporary relief. Short-lived exclusions and trade deals can look like stability, but they are often not. A sourcing decision based on a temporary exemption can become a cost problem just as fast as a decision based on a permanent-looking tariff wall.
If providing advice to contract manufacturing leaders, I would offer four priorities:
Separate temporary tariff recovery from permanent conversion cost. If those two were blended into one unit price, you will not know how much price you can safely give back. You need a clean tariff waterfall by customer, part number, country of origin, and tariff code. Only then can you strip out the tariff layer quickly while protecting the value of your engineering, quality, lead time, and service.
Triage inventory. High-cost inventory bought ahead of tariff hikes can become your biggest commercial weakness when tariffs disappear. But the answer is not always to dump it. You need to sort stock into demand that is committed, demand that can be negotiated, and demand that is fully exposed. Some inventory can be protected through existing commitments. Some may need shared recovery with customers. Some may need alternative use, promotions, or supplier claims.
Reopen supplier logic, not just customer pricing. If you locked in minimum order quantities, route premiums, or geographic commitments to stay tariff safe, now is the time to reset them. Ask for rebates where possible. Convert fixed commitments into flexible bands. Restore country-of-origin options. Shorten lock-in periods. When tariff economics change, procurement, planning, engineering, and sales all need to move together.
Rethink factory role before rethinking location. If a higher-cost line in the United States or Mexico looks weak after tariff repeal, closing it may be the wrong first move. It may still be the right home for regulated, fast-turn, high-mix, or low-volume work. Stable and price-sensitive volume can move elsewhere. The companies that manage this well do not panic. They redeploy capacity with care.
OEMs face a different trap. When tariffs disappear, the instinct is to rush into a rebid and chase the lowest piece price. For many products, that can be a mistake, and it ignores some of the benefits gained by restructuring a supply chain in response to tariffs. A supplier that looks more expensive after tariff repeal may still be the better choice if it reduces launch risk or protects service levels.
If tariffs pushed you into dual sourcing, nearshoring, or qualifying new suppliers, do not throw that optionality away the moment tariffs come down. Qualification takes time, money, and energy. It is expensive to build and painful to rebuild. In an unstable policy environment, the wiser move is usually to preserve the option and rebalance the share.
During the tariff cycle, many products were redesigned to avoid certain countries, materials, or categories. If repeal makes the old design path look cheaper again, pause before reversing course. Design changes carry qualification effort, testing cost, and compliance risk. The right question is not whether you can go back. It is whether going back improves total cost and risk over the next two tariff cycles.
Altium cannot predict trade policy, and no platform can. But it can help PCB and electronics companies react faster and with less damage when tariff economics change.
Altium’s product suite helps in four practical ways:
In a tariff removal event, that means teams can find all BOMs tied to a now high-cost source, compare alternates, assess multi-supplier options, and execute controlled changes faster. Just as important, it helps prevent a common mistake: cutting price before confirming that lower-cost alternatives are approved, available, and suitable for the product lifecycle.
The biggest risk is not customs compliance, but a commercial and operational lag. Companies can be left with high-cost inventory, inflated customer prices, and sourcing models built for a tariff environment that no longer exists.
Because the cost of tariffs often becomes buried inside quotes, contracts, stock positions, and network design. When the tariff disappears, the cost does not disappear automatically. It has to be unwound, often under time pressure.
They should move quickly, but not blindly. First, they need to separate true tariff recovery from permanent conversion cost. If they do not understand that split, they risk giving away margin that has nothing to do with the tariff.
In many cases, yes. Dual sourcing creates optionality. In a policy environment where tariffs can return, widen, or shift quickly, that optionality can be far more valuable than a short-term piece-price gain.